Snow Day Predictor Date: Sunday, January 22 2012
Prediction:

for January 23, 2010.

Another day another prediction as this season of weather finally begins. I was talking to Mr. Fox this weekend, and he mentioned something to me about how whenever Mr. McConnell drives to school in the carpool, that there is some kind of delay, or closing.

Well, this time around it's Mr. Fox's week to drive, and lets hope that it's not true that just when Mr. McConnell drives, that something happens with school closings.

There is a warm front moving through over night into tomorrow during the day. Being that the air high up in the atmosphere is warmer than down here at the surface, as precipitation it falls down as rain. When it finally gets into the colder air closer to the surface, it will freeze on contact. Which leads into extremely slick travel.

When things change over to all rain in the morning is going to be the deciding factor on if we close of delay. If things change over early, we may even have nothing at all. If they change over late in the morning, we might end up with the three day weekend.

As things get cleared, I may post an update, if I'm not in bed sleeping. Though how can anyone sleep with the Giants and 49ers playing? Am I right?

The Prediction:
40% chance of delay
50% chance of closing
% chance of early release

Snow Day Predictor Date: Thursday, January 19 2012
Prediction:

for January 20, 2012.

Greetings everyone. Sorry for the late posting but it seems I've been a bit busy dancing around in the first "real" snow of the year. I know it snowed in October, but this is snow in the right time frame, and finally it feels like winter.

This storm seems to be a little bit more than it seems. This is a bonus to everyone because at first, I didn't think I had to do a prediction. They were only calling for a dusting to an inch.

Since the snow seems to be falling, and keep falling I'm upping the chance of a delay for tomorrow. I doubt it will be anything more than that though. If only the snow that is set for Friday night into Saturday was hitting tonight. Things would have been different then.

The Prediction:
50% chance of delay
0% chance of closing
0% chance of early release

Snow Day Predictor Date: Monday, January 16 2012
Prediction: for January 16, 2012. Greetings all, it's that time again to keep and eye on the snow day guy! What is he going to predict now! Winter has settled into the Hudson Valley, only to be snatched away from us once again. The storm should start off as snow, and then gradually change over to sleet and freezing rain as temperatures increase over the night hours. I know, hard to read and hard to believe after that last 2 days of cold weather we've had, but temperatures are expected to rise over night. Tomorrow morning is going to be tricky, as the storm is supposed to change to all rain in the mid morning hours as temperatures rise up into the upper 30s to low 40s. This will make the call tricky. It all depends on when things change over to rain, and how fast that rain can take care of the sleet and ice that fell overnight.
Updates around 10:30pm if needed!

UPDATE: It seems there is a lot of dry air in place causing the precipitation to break up a bit. Less on the ground changes the chances of a delay or closing.

I think I am going to stick with my original predictions though. I still feel the roads will have enough time to get slick over night before the rain starts.

The Prediction:
40% chance of delay
60% chance of closing
0% chance of early release